Global Catastrophes and Trends: The Next Fifty Years pdf

瓦茨拉夫微笑 目前是加拿大温尼伯曼尼托巴大学环境学院的特聘教授。他在布拉格卡罗林大学自然科学学院和宾夕法尼亚州立大学地球与矿物科学学院完成了研究生学习。他的跨学科研究兴趣涵盖能源、环境、食品、人口、经济、历史和公共政策研究等广泛领域，他还将这些方法应用于中国的能源、食品和环境事务。

他是加拿大皇家学会（科学院）的会员，也是第一位获得美国科学促进会公众对科学技术理解奖的非美国人。他在美国、加拿大、欧洲、亚洲和非洲的 250 多个会议和研讨会上受邀演讲，在北美、欧洲和东亚的多所大学讲学，并在美国、欧盟和许多国家担任顾问。国际机构。他的妻子伊娃是一名医生，他的儿子大卫是一名有机合成化学家。

Global Catastrophes and Trends: The Next Fifty Years pdf 瓦茨拉夫微笑

Predicting the future is still impossible, but science has gotten much better at forecasting it, at least to the extent that it is informed by statistics and probabilities. Vaclav Smil speaks the truth as he sees it, according to mathematical information and indications. For instance, he refutes the "peak oil" scenario, but asserts that society's transition to an economy that is less reliant on fossil fuel is long overdue, environmentally and politically. Smil predicted the financial meltdown and the flu pandemic, so clearly he's on to something. He delves into a variety of issues in this analysis of trends and calamities, from the economic decline of the U.S. to conflicts in Muslim countries, the aging of many national populations and the depletion of essential ecosystems. getAbstract recommends this fascinating account of the future as seen through the cold eye of a statistician.