Statistics, Econometrics and Forecasting pdf

阿诺德·泽尔纳 1927 年 1 月 2 日出生于纽约布鲁克林。 阿诺德以奖学金进入哈佛大学，于 1949 年获得物理学学士学位。在完成他在军队的服役期后，他利用他的退伍军人法案福利进入加州大学伯克利分校，并于 1957 年获得经济学博士学位 . 他在华盛顿大学（1955-1960）和威斯康星大学（1961-1966）的经济系任职，然后接受了 H.G.B. 芝加哥大学商学院经济与统计学亚历山大教授（1966-1996 年）。 自 1996 年从芝加哥大学退休以来，他一直是世界各地的常客，也是加州大学伯克利分校农业与资源经济学系的客座教授。

Statistics, Econometrics and Forecasting pdf 阿诺德·泽尔纳

This book is based on two Sir Richard Stone lectures at the Bank of England and the National Institute for Economic and Social Research. Largely non-technical, the first part of the book covers some of the broader issues involved in Stone's and others' work in statistics. It explores the more philosophical issues attached to statistics, econometrics and forecasting and describes the paradigm shift back to the Bayesian approach to scientific inference. The first part concludes with simple examples from the different worlds of educational management and golf clubs. The second, more technical part covers in detail the structural econometric time series analysis (SEMTSA) approach to statistical and econometric modeling.